Samuel P. Huntington in his The Clash of Civilizations, theorized that the nine “civilizations” (Western, Latin American, African, Islamic, Sinic, Hindu, Orthodox, Buddhist, and Japanese) would never obtain absolute amity but would always “clash” for one reason or another and the clashes would occur along the “fault” lines. Was what occurred recently in Georgia consistent with Huntington’s thesis? Perhaps.
Huntington’s thesis includes the idea of “core states.” Each Civilization has or needs one core state to represent the weaker states, to protect them or keep them under control as necessary. The U.S. is identified as the West’s “Core State,” and Russia the Core State of the Orthodox Civilization.
Even though the USSR fragmented, the Orthodox Civilization did not. Also, according to Huntington’s thesis, Russia would maintain a “core-state interest” in other “Orthodox” nations. It has done so visibly in regard to Serbia, but consider Georgia. According to the CIA Factbook (https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/gg.html ) Georgia is 83.9% Orthodox Christian. Surely this would place Georgia in the “Orthodox Civilization,” but they are not happy with Russia at the present time and Russia seems willing to bully them a bit. But it isn’t surprising, after the break up of the Soviet Union in 1989 that the relationship of non-Soviet Russia with its Civilizational members is in an uncertain condition.
But let us look at the West for a moment. The U.S., the West’s Core State, chose to overthrow the government of Iraq, which is in the Islamic Civilization. Many members of the Western Civilization balked for one reason or another. Germany and France became downright hostile. We didn’t come to blows as Russia and Georgia did, but we were not on good terms with each other for several years. Is the relationship of Russia and Georgia of a similar nature? Will the Civilizational commonality between these two Orthodox nations eventually overcome their disagreements? Huntington would say yes. We see that France and Germany are much happier with the U.S. once we elected Barack Obama. The “hatred” of France and Germany couldn’t be very deep if all it took was an election to remove it, but the events in Georgia recently seem more serious.
What happened in Georgia wasn’t a Huntington “Clash” because it occurred between two members of the same “civilization.” And it didn’t seem much like the core-state’s keeping other members of the civilization in order. It seems to have created a lot of bad feeling in Georgia, but perhaps it was already there.
Then too there is the matter of former SSRs wanting to follow Eastern European nations into some sort of association with the West. Turkey of the Islamic Civilization is a member of NATO and is trying to enter the EU. It isn’t surprising that some nations of the “Orthodox Civilization” are trying as well. After all, Huntington’s thesis hasn’t been proved. There are some (Bat Ye’or chief among them) who argue that Western Europe will eventually be taken over, more or less peacefully, by the Islamic Civilization; so why couldn’t Georgia or the Ukraine join the West in some manner?
Well, it seems to me, they could if they chose to, and if Russia would let them. I commented in previous notes about the pacifistic EU goading the Russian bear by offering membership in the EU to former SSRs. Didn’t the EU realize that they were infringing on the Orthodox Core State’s territory, trying to steal away one of its cubs? If the EU was serious in these attempts, then perhaps they abandoned war a little too soon. Of course, the U.S. was equally guilty in encouraging Georgia’s entrance into NATO. And Georgia was one of the nations that supported the American efforts in Iraq – all very interesting and complicated.
Michael Kuznetsov made comments in a recent note suggesting he wasn’t terribly fond of Georgia. He could if he wished and was ambitious enough find that I made comments in blog notes suggesting that I wasn’t terribly fond of France. In my own defense I would say that I objected to actions of the Gaullist party. I was not a fan of De Gaulle or of Chirac, but I have a lot of admiration for . . . difficult to define, but I am fond of or at least interested in a lot of French philosophy. I would hate it if the West “lost” France to Islamism. France and the U.S. have a long and usually amicable relationship. I would hope that no falling out would be permanent. Perhaps the same thing can be said about Russia and Georgia, I don’t know.